CNN is reporting that a woman 41 years old has a 51% higher chance of having a child with autism than a woman of 25. This is a very scary statistic unless you put some context to it — and CNN didn’t do a very good job of it. Nowhere in the segment did they say what the statistics are at 25 — but MedTV says that the figure is 1 in 166 to 1 in 500. So if you use a rough median figure of 1 in 300 then a 51% increase in likelihood would mean it goes from 1 in 300 to 1.5 in 300. But if you put out a segment as “news” that there’s a new report that a 41 year old woman faces a 1.5 in 300 chance of having an autistic child, while a 25 year old has a 1 in 300 chance — no one would pay attention. Now … quickly here, I don’t want to say the report is not significant. But you see this kind of statistic all the time in reporting of medical studies and almost never do you see context being provided.
Year of the Spy Book Trailer
Above is the Year of the Spy Book Trailer — for my upcoming non-fiction book about espionage upheavals on the streets of Moscow in 1985.
Below is a “trailer” showcasing the writing and video services I provide to clients.
Michael Sellers — Writing and Video Services
- Arsha Sellers — Today I’m One Big Step Closer to Becoming a Real Forever Dad
- Meet Abby Sellers and Arshavin Sellers — My Wife, My Son, My Inspiration Every Day
- What the Mueller Report Actually Says
- Remembering James Blount, an American Who “Got” the Philippines in 1901
- America the Beautiful? You Mean America the Pitiful. I Am Ashamed